The predicted magnitude of this peak is reasonably affected throughout a believable range of immune durations and immunity-modulated severity upon re-exposure (figs. S7 and S8). By contrast, post-pandemic burden during endemicity is shown to be strongly dependent on immune operate and former infection historical past because it affects infection chance and illness severity.
For these countries, we collected age pyramids from the statistics of the United Nations and country/age-specific variety of contacts from Prem et al. . We additional annualized these knowledge to generate the finer age profile into the 1-year age brackets necessary for model predictions (fig. S13). A final perception from our detailed RAS mannequin is … Read More